Website: http://castle2016.com/
Donate: https://castle2016.nationbuilder.com/donate
Chad Koppie: Constitution Party US Senate Candidate for Illinois
Website: http://www.chadkoppie.com/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Chad-Koppie-Campaign-175035105892775
Donate: http://www.chadkoppie.com/donations.php
https://votevance2016.blogspot.com
Darryl Glenn: Republican Party US Senate Candidate for Colorado
Website: http://www.electdarrylglenn.com/
Donate: https://transaxt.com/Donate/6ECCUR/CommitteetoElectDarrylGlenn/?src=button
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CommitteeToElectDarrylGlenn/
Joe Miller: Libertarian Party US Senate Candidate for Alaska
https://votevance2016.blogspot.com/2016/09/the-presidential-election-senate-of.html
Donate: http://joeforliberty.com/
Donate at Make DC Listen: https://secure.makedclisten.com/donate/d?c=c8c976b8a062bfcfa0d065e176ba3030
Petition: Pro-Life Christian Petition to Identifying Christian Schools
https://sfla.webconnex.com/pro-life-christian?src=nomp3
Petition: Oppose the establishment of an “International Safe Abortion Day” at the UN
http://www.citizengo.org/en/lf/36999-sign-here-oppose-establishment-international-safe-abortion-day-un?dr=4611658::7f7bb99f165b41387e6b94ba4e27cb2f&utm_source=email&mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTXpsak1Ua3haVFptTlRkaCIsInQiOiJ1Nm9IQ00wZUtIcEp4WlwvdDI3RWtVcTJzYkV5RjNyNk1LMVFNcHlmZ091TjNoODdCeVJmS21lUVlXRGtwSFZxVW1hZHFyeE5Nb1BaMWlKWHNaWCtWSUJSVFwvdlwvZytibVI2a2NmNmIwNm5vTT0ifQ%3D%3D
Petition: Defund Planned Parenthood through the States
http://www.citizengo.org/en/37072-states-rights-defund-planned-parenthood?dr=4611658::7f7bb99f165b41387e6b94ba4e27cb2f&utm_source=email&mkt_tok=eyJpIjoiTmpnd1ptUTRNR05oTVRSayIsInQiOiI1TGY3VjdnbGVabjNWUk5Od3VhY05sSVhDTEpIUytMeHJXTGRrR2VmR0gwb3NiRkVTYk5waVRZanRpTnZUK09teU53bEFlKzd6WmQ2b1RGbWIyM29qaXdOamhrVzdqanlNa3p4VXlWSmFnaz0ifQ%3D%3D
Restore the Constitution
Take Back the Nation
I am a Christian, Constitutionalist, conservative.
Every election except one from 1944 through the 2012 Presidential election year has followed the same pattern except for one. The pattern is this: The political party that controls the White House controls it for eight years and then the other party takes control. Thus, Harry Truman (D) served basically from 1945, when he took over at the death of Franklin Roosevelt, through 1952. He was replaced by Republican Dwight Eisenhower in 1953 through 1960. John Kennedy (D) was elected in 1960 and, after his assassination in 1963, Vice President Johnson replaced him and was elected in his own right in 1964. The Republicans claim that Johnson won because Barry Goldwater was too conservative. (Goldwater was a libertarian more than a conservative.) The fact is, no Republican was going to win the 1964 election. The American voter was not going to reject a Vice President who took office because a sitting President was assassinated less than a year before.
President Johnson declared that he would not seek reelection in 1968. In my opinion, he did so because he thought he would lose in 1968 and he did not want to go down in history as an incumbent President who lost his reelection bid. Richard Nixon (R) won the 1968 election and won reelection in 1972. However, political scandal forced him to resign soon after the 1972 election and he was replaced by appointed Vice President Gerald Ford. As he should have according to the pattern, Democrat Jimmy Cater defeated unelected incumbent President Ford in 1976.
Then, the pattern was broken. Ronald Reagan (R) defeated a sitting elected incumbent President. He did so primarily because of the political scandal involving the Iran hostages. A sitting President allowed a foreign government to take control of and hold hostage American territory—the American embassy in Iran—and American citizens. His reelection was doomed. President Reagan was reelected in 1984 and Vice President Bush won election in 1988 to continue the broken pattern. If President Bush had been reelected in 1992, a new dominance for the Republican Party may have been established. Instead, he committed political suicide. He promised no new taxes in his election bid of 1988 and broke the promise after being elected. Along with a viable third party challenge in 1992, he was destined to lose.
His loss reestablished the two cycle pattern for which party holds the Presidency. Thus, President Clinton (D) won in 1992 and 1996. George W. Bush regained the Presidency in 2000 for the Republicans and held on to the office by winning a second term in 2004. According to the pattern, the Democrats would win in 2008 and again in 2012. The Clintons, I believe, knew and understood the pattern. Thus, they were desperate to have Hillary win the nomination in 2008. It didn’t happen. If the pattern holds true, Donald Trump should win the election of 2016. It is time for a Republican President according to the pattern.
From: http://www.pjstar.com/zz/elections/20160923/trump-is-headed-for-win-says-professor-whos-predicted-30-years-of-presidential-outcomes-correctly
“Trump is headed for win, says professor who’s predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly”
“Nobody knows for certain who will win on November 8—but one man is pretty sure: Professor Allan Lichtman, who’s correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984.
When we sat down in May, he explained how he comes to a decision. Lichtman’s prediction isn’t based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the ‘Keys to the White House’ to determine his predicted winner.
And this year, he says, Donald Trump is the favorite to win.
The keys, which are explained in depth in Lichtman’s book ‘Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016’ are:
1) Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2) Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3) Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4) Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5) Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6) Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7) Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8) Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9) Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10) Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11) Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12) Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13) Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.”
“The keys are 13 true/false questions, where an answer of ‘true’ always favors the reelection of the party holding the White House, in this case the Democrats. And the keys are phrased to reflect the basic theory that elections are primarily judgments on the performance of the party holding the White House. And if six or more of the 13 keys are false—that is, they go against the party in power—they lose. If fewer than six are false, the party in power gets four more years.”
“Q: We’re a little bit less than seven weeks out from the election today. Who do you predict will win in November?
LICHTMAN: Based on the 13 keys, it would predict a Donald Trump victory. Remember, six keys and you’re out, and right now the Democrats are out—for sure—five keys.
Key 1 is the party mandate—how well they did in the midterms. They got crushed.
Key number 3 is, the sitting president is not running.
Key number 7, no major policy change in Obama’s second term like the Affordable Care Act.
Key number 11, no major smashing foreign policy success.
And Key number 12, Hillary Clinton is not a Franklin Roosevelt.
One more key and the Democrats are down, and we have the Gary Johnson Key. One of my Keys would be that the party in power gets a ‘false’ if a third-party candidate is anticipated to get 5 percent of the vote or more. In his highest polling, Gary Johnson is at about 12 to 14 percent. My rule is that you cut it in half. That would mean that he gets six to seven, and that would be the sixth and final key against the Democrats.
So very, very narrowly, the keys point to a Trump victory. But I would say, more to the point, they point to a generic Republican victory, because I believe that given the unprecedented nature of the Trump candidacy and Trump himself, he could defy all odds and lose even though the verdict of history is in his favor. So this would also suggest, you know, the possibility this election could go either way. Nobody should be complacent, no matter who you’re for, you gotta get out and vote.”
Using a more complicated method, this professor comes to the same conclusion as my historical method. Donald Trump should win the election. The election is Donald Trump’s to lose or win. It’s Donald Trump’s responsibility and no one else’s. I read recently that one political analyst has said that Donald Trump should be leading by 50 percent points. That is overstating it a bit. However, this should be the year for a Republican Presidential victory. Whether or not it happens is another question. We have, in my opinion, the two worst candidates at the head of the two major parties in the history of the republic. I can’t and won’t vote for either of them. I’m “Never Hillary” and “Never Trump.”
You can not win the election if you do not run for the office. You can not win the election if you do not get on the ballot.
Vote Darrell Castle for President. The Constitutional Conservative!
I am a Christian, Constitutionalist, conservative.
Restore the Constitution
Take Back the Nation
For Life, for liberty
Don L. Vance
“With a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.”
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